汕头台风吧 关注:114贴子:12,347
  • 15回复贴,共1

【讨论扰动】91W-17.10.11编

只看楼主收藏回复

91W INVEST 171011 0600 7.0N 150.0E WPAC 15 NA


回复
来自手机贴吧1楼2017-10-11 20:25
    居然抢到了


    收起回复
    来自手机贴吧2楼2017-10-11 20:25
      不想抢了


      回复
      来自Android客户端3楼2017-10-11 22:18



        回复
        来自Android客户端4楼2017-10-12 18:49
          大饼,恰逢海马登陆日😋


          收起回复
          来自Android客户端5楼2017-10-12 21:49
            (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.0N
            142.0E, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED
            ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING
            LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FORMATIVE DEEP CONVECTIVE
            BANDING. A 131142Z SCATSAT IMAGE SHOWS A SHARP INVERTED TROUGH,
            HOWEVER, A 131202Z METOP-B 89GHZ IMAGE SUGGESTS A DEVELOPING LLCC
            WITH SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC WITH DEEP CONVECTION
            OVER THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
            MARGINALLY-FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20
            KNOTS) NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND DIFFLUENCE ALOFT.
            SST VALUES ARE VERY FAVORABLE AT 30 TO 31C. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A
            WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND DECREASING VWS OVER
            THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
            SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
            PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
            DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
            HOURS IS MEDIUM.


            收起回复
            来自Android客户端6楼2017-10-13 23:10
              希望可以


              收起回复
              来自Android客户端7楼2017-10-14 16:44